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Crude & Brent Oil Weekly Analysis Forecast, May 18-22, 2015 – Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation (Crude Oil Brent Oil Forecast):

Crude Oil gained a bit on Friday but ended below its recent highs of $61 and Brent Oil fell below its highs in the $67 range. Brent oil ended the week at 66.97. WTI prices have risen roughly 40 per cent from their lows on March 17 and traded above $60 a barrel this week for the first time since early December. But this pales in comparison to the roughly 75 per cent surge over the same period seen in the WCS oil price.

This has narrowed the discount on WCS relative to WTI from the norm of $17 a barrel to $8, economist David Rosenberg said in a note last week. The reasons for the outperformance range from improved distribution of Canadian crude to the U.S., to rising demand from U.S. refineries – trends that are not expected to reverse in the near future, Mr. Rosenberg said.

The new fund will provide investors’ access to Canadian crude oil by tracking the performance of the Canadian Crude Excess Return Index, which is a transparent and liquid benchmark price for oil that is produced in Canada.

ForexTraq provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review in forex trading. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more recent analysis and information for Crude Oil in our weekly reports and we provide daily updates and outlooks.

 

WEEKLY

This Week in Petroleum
Release Schedule: Wednesday @ 1:00 p.m. EST (schedule)

Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update
Release Schedule: Monday between 4:00 and 5:00 p.m. EST (schedule)

Weekly Petroleum Status Report
Release Schedule: The wpsrsummary.pdf, overview.pdf, and Tables 1-14 in CSV and XLS formats, are released to the Web site after 10:30 a.m. (Eastern Time) on Wednesday.

Major Economic Events for the week that you should be monitoring for Crude Oil in forex trading

Cur. Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

Monday, May 18, 2015

Tuesday, May 19, 2015

  AUD Monetary Meeting Minutes

 

  GBP CPI (YoY)

 

  EUR German ZEW Economic Sentiment

 

49.0

53.3

  EUR CPI (YoY)

 

0.0%

0.0%

  USD Building Permits (Apr)

 

1.065M

1.042M

  CAD BoC Gov Poloz Speaks

 

Wednesday, May 20, 2015

  GBP BoE MPC Meeting Minutes

 

  USD FOMC Meeting Minutes

 

Thursday, May 21, 2015

  CNY HSBC Manufacturing

 

49.4

48.9

  EUR German Manufacturing

 

52.3

52.1

  GBP Retail Sales

 

0.4%

-0.5%

  USD Existing Home Sales

 

5.24M

5.19M

  USD Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing

 

8.2

7.5

Friday, May 22, 2015

  EUR German GDP

 

0.3%

0.3%

  EUR German Manufacturing

 

52.1

  EUR German Ifo Business

 

108.3

108.6

  USD Core CPI

 

0.2%

0.2%

Government Bond Auctions

Date Time Country

May 18 09:30 Germany Eur 1.5bn 12M (May 2016) Bubills

May 18 10:00 Belgium Auctions OLOs

May 20 09:03 Sweden Holds bond auction

May 21 08:30 Spain Auctions Bonos

May 21 09:03 Sweden Holds bond exchange auction

May 21 09:10 France Auctions BTANs

May 21 09:30 UK Auctions 4.75% 2030 Conventional Gilt

May 21 10:10 France Auctions

May 21 15:30 Italy Announces details of CTZ/BTPei on 26 May

May 21 15:00 US Announces details of 2-year FRN on 27 May, plus 2/5/7 year

May 21 17:00 US Auctions 10-year TIPs

May 22 09:03 Sweden Holds bond exchange auction

May 22 10:00 Norway Details bond auction on 27 May

Crude analysis forecast

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