EUR/GBP Analysis Forecast, May 15, 2015 – Forecast

Analysis and Recommendations (EUR/GBP Forecast):

The EUR/GBP added 28 points with both currencies trading in the green but the euro outshined the GBP. The GBP continues to gain on positive data while the eurozone is stronger with a surprise in GDP and the Greek situation on the back burner. 0.7238. The British pound is moving higher as employment continues to grow, leading to increasing wages, and rising consumer sentiment, which could push lending rates up over the coming year. Economic activity in the U.K. looks to continue to expand as households strengthen. Both employment and wage gains are fueling sentiment measures, which is translating into increased retail spending. While there remains pockets of weakness in the economy, policymakers will look to raise lending rates in coming months as household optimism grows, leading to gains in its currency.

The euro held steady Thursday on the back of an improving eurozone economy. Despite upbeat European growth, however, debt-saddled Greece confirmed that its economy had slipped back into recession, with no end in sight to tense bailout reform talks with its international creditors.

ForexTraq provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review in forex trading. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information for EUR/GBP in our weekly reports.

EUR/GBP chart

Today’s economic releases actual vs. forecast:

Cur. Event Actual Forecast Previous
  NZD Business NZ PMI (Apr) 54.5
  NZD Core Retail Sales (QoQ) 2.9% 1.5% 1.9%
  NZD Retail Sales (QoQ) (Q1) 2.7% 1.5% 1.7%
  GBP RICS House Price Balance (Apr) 33% 22% 22%


Upcoming Economic Events that you should be monitoring for EUR/GBP in forex trading:

Friday, May 15, 2015

Cur. Event Actual Forecast Previous
  JPY BoJ Governor Kuroda Speaks
  CHF PPI (MoM) (Apr) -0.1% 0.2%
  USD NY Empire State Manufacturing 5.00 -1.19
  CAD Foreign Securities Purchases 7.23B 9.27B
  CAD Manufacturing Sales (MoM) 1.2% -1.7%
  USD Industrial Production (MoM) 0.1% -0.6%
  USD Michigan Consumer 88.6 88.8

Government Bond Auctions

Date Time Country

May 18 09:30 Germany Eur 1.5bn 12M (May 2016) Bubills

May 18 10:00 Belgium Auctions OLOs

May 20 09:03 Sweden Holds bond auction

May 21 08:30 Spain Auctions Bonos

May 21 09:03 Sweden Holds bond exchange auction

May 21 09:10 France Auctions BTANs

May 21 09:30 UK Auctions 4.75% 2030 Conventional Gilt

May 21 10:10 France Auctions

May 21 15:30 Italy Announces details of CTZ/BTPei on 26 May

May 21 15:00 US Announces details of 2-year FRN on 27 May, plus 2/5/7 year

May 21 17:00 US Auctions 10-year TIPs

May 22 09:03 Sweden Holds bond exchange auction

May 22 10:00 Norway Details bond auction on 27 May

EUR/GBP analysis forecast 2015


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